Which Countries Will the MCC Board Likely Select as Eligible in FY2012?

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Casey Dunning and Owen McCarthy

11/30/2011

This year marks the ninth round in which the Millennium Challenge Corporation (MCC) board of directors will select which countries are eligible to receive assistance. Since its inception in 2003, the MCC has provided results-oriented assistance to lower income countries that exhibit strong policy performance. But this year is unique: the MCC has adopted a new selection system to judge countries’ policy performance. The new system features an expanded set of indicators, new thresholds for passing selected indicators, and a new democratic rights hard hurdle to accompany the MCC’s control of corruption hard hurdle.

This analysis draws upon MCC reports and country indicator performance to predict which countries will be made eligible to apply for FY2012 compact or threshold assistance. We offer a forecast of potential FY2012 eligible countries; it is not an official list of the countries that will be selected.

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Initiatives

• MCA Monitor Tracking the Millennium Challenge Account

Research Topics

• Aid Effectiveness

Events

• Which Countries Will the Millennium Challenge Corporation Select This Year?

Multimedia

• Which Countries Will the Millennium Challenge Corporation Select This Year? (Event Video)
• Who Will Win Out? The Millennium Challenge Corporation Selection
• Tracking the U.S. Millennium Challenge Account