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The future of British aid would largely depend on whether the government decides to keep its commitment to assisting developing nations or starts tightening its belt if the country’s economy declines.
“If the treasury decides to make reductions in spending, one of the places they might look to cut is in aid,” Barder said. “They will in any case reduce the aid budget in line with the forecasts of economic growth. And if national income is growing less quickly, so will the aid budget.”
A slowdown in the British economy would also result in the sluggish growth of exports and remittances for developing countries with close economic ties to Britain, such as Commonwealth nations, Barder said.