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The economics and developmental impact of policies including Brexit, trade, agriculture, environment, education, social mobility, and risk management; policy development in the EU and G20
Ian Mitchell is a senior policy fellow at the Center for Global Development in Europe. He is also a research associate at the Institute for Fiscal Studies. As of late, Mitchell has undertaken research on the economic impact of Brexit, the value of the EU Single Market, and the impact of Brexit on development in relation to trade and aid.
Until 2016, Mitchell worked as an economist and senior civil servant in the UK government. At the Department for Environment Food and Rural Affairs (DEFRA), he was Deputy Chief Economist and was responsible for economic analysis on EU, agricultural and environmental issues—including advising Ministers on the UK’s strategy on the EU Common Agricultural Policy. Between 2014 and 2015, he chaired the Agricultural Markets Information System established by the G20 to mitigate global food commodity volatility. At DEFRA, Ian was also responsible for the UK’s economic analysis on food & resource security and animal disease risk & outbreaks.
From 2004 to 2008, Mitchell undertook economic analysis on education and social mobility at the UK Department for Education. He and his team helped design, and led the evaluation of, reforms to higher education including the introduction of tuition fees. This included projecting participation and annual budgets over £8bn ($12bn) and assessing impacts on equality. He undertook new research on social mobility in the UK using both income and broader measures of well-being. Mitchell’s career began at Ernst and Young and has also included roles at HM Treasury and the Centre for Economics and Business Research.
While the UK negotiates its exit from the EU, the EU will be negotiating over its own budget for the period from 2020-2026 as part of the Multi-Annual Financial Framework. So, where will EU development aid be a quarter of the way through the 21st century?
The EU faces a substantial drop in its development resources following Brexit. Still, the amount will depend on how “hard” that exit is, and the UK’s ongoing involvement in voluntary EU-level arrangements. Here we assess the potential size of the Overseas Development Assistance (ODA) funding drop that EU institutions could face.
The level of challenge faced by Jordan and Moldova on refugees and migration is remarkable: while Jordan has welcomed over a million Syrian refugees, Moldova has a migration outflow equivalent to a quarter of its population. Without the option of closing their borders, the scale of these movements not only puts the challenge for developed countries into context, but provides important insights on the importance of planning, and of innovation in policy.