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Emerging Markets Slowdown: Global and Domestic Economic Policy Challenges

Toward the end of the 2008 global economic crisis, the consensus was that developed economies would recover just as quickly as they did in past recessions. It was also expected that emerging market economies would continue acting as the world growth locomotive for a relatively long time. Until mid-2011, this perspective appeared to be in the process of materializing. By now, however, this scenario differs significantly from reality.

Is Latin America Ready for the Return of Normal?

New uncertainties come to the fore now that the global economy, after six years of turmoil, is showing signs of a return to a more normal situation, where real interest rates in the United States turn positive and commodity prices stabilize at a somewhat lower level, due to a cooling of red-hot demand from China. How will Latin America, which has been buoyed by capital inflows seeking higher returns, respond to the return of normal?  Will the economic and social progress observed during the past two decades hold?

The Currency War: Risks for Latin America and the Role of Central Banks

During the 13th and 16th of November, the Latin American Shadow Financial Regulatory Committee (CLAAF) held their second meeting of the year in Lima with the purpose of discussing the effect of the currency wars on the Latin American region. As a result of the meeting, we presented the 23rd CLAAF statement. The statement has been extremely well received and broadly covered by the Peruvian press.

Resolution of Argentina's Financial Crises

Aware of the crucial importance for Latin America of reaching a prompt and effective solution to the current financial problems in Argentina, this statement reflects the assessment and recommendations of the Latin American Shadow Financial Regulatory Committee (LASFRC) for moving towards that end. The statement has three parts. First, it identifies the major features and problems facing the Argentine banking system. Second, it assesses alternatives for crisis resolutions. Third, it advances on general lessons applicable to the region.