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WORKING PAPERS
April 23, 2024
This paper explores the potential implications of a declining absolute labor force on economic outcomes. It explores key macroeconomic variables during periods of negative and positive prime age (15-65) population growth (PAPG). These variables include 10-year bond yields, consumer price indices, fe...
Blog Post
April 23, 2024
The ongoing global demographic transition is massive in scale and likely impact. For most of the past 200 years, the vast majority of the world’s countries have seen population growth, particularly working-age population growth. As they’ve gone through the "demographic transition" toward lower birth...
Blog Post
January 23, 2024
Over the coming decades, the world must decarbonise at an unprecedented speed. Yet deploying ‘green’ technologies cannot be done without a sufficiently sized and adequately skilled workforce. New research from the Center for Global Development (CGD) suggests that workforce gaps pose a significant bo...
POLICY PAPERS
January 23, 2024
If green transition targets are to be met, migration is likely to be needed as a complement to domestic training and reskilling. Given that the shortage of green-skilled workers is global, however, migration must be accompanied by support for training and retaining workers at home.
Blog Post
December 14, 2023
The US labor market has changed a lot since 1991, but the federal list of shortage occupations, which impacts employers and immigrant workers alike, has not. Now, for the first time in decades, the US Department of Labor (DOL) will soon be seeking information on how the Schedule A shortage occupatio...
SPEECHES
November 02, 2023
On October 30, 2023, CGD senior fellow Charles Kenny delivered remarks at the Oxford Martin School, where he is a visiting fellow. His speech, “The future of global development and implications for aid,” focused on global economic change and its impact on the development prospects of low- and middle...
Blog Post
August 01, 2023
A number of aid advocates have started (re)using the fear of migration flows to drum up support for increased, or at least sustained, development and climate finance. Their argument is that such finance will reduce migration flows; that we should support and protect prosperous and sustainable econom...
Blog Post
May 23, 2023
The past year has been challenging and turbulent for many frontier markets in Africa. In 2022, African economies met headwinds of inflation, the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic, and sovereign debt challenges. This led to a decrease in demand for African goods and services, as well as reduced inve...
Blog Post
May 04, 2023
Last week, the World Bank published the 2023 edition of its World Development Report (WDR), with a focus on “Migrants, Refugees, and Societies.” The report provides a sweeping overview of the issues facing migrants, refugees, and countries of origin, transit, and destination, encapsulating it all in...