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Research

Innovative, independent, peer-reviewed. Explore the latest economic research and policy proposals from CGD’s global development experts.
REPORTS
Healthier Firms for a Stronger Recovery
Andrew Powell
and
Liliana Rojas-Suarez
August 03, 2022
REPORTS
Reinvigorating Impact Evaluation for Global Development
Julia Kaufman et al.
July 19, 2022
BRIEFS
Mainstreaming Evidence Use through Locally Led Development: Recommendations for USAID
Janeen Madan Keller et al.
July 19, 2022
REPORTS
2022 Global Refugee Work Rights Report
Thomas Ginn et al.
July 28, 2022

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Research
Displaying 1 - 7 of 39
POLICY PAPERS
Assessment of Expenditure Choices by Low- and Low- Middle-Income Countries During the Pandemic and Their Impact on SDGs
Sanjeev Gupta
and
Lucas Sala
June 06, 2022
Before the pandemic, the achievement of the SDGs by 2030 was doubtful in part because of the slow pace in generating additional revenues from domestic sources. As the financing needs have increased after the pandemic, the achievement of these goals will be delayed beyond 2030, unless additional fina...
WORKING PAPERS
Fiscal Policy for Inclusive Growth in Asia
Benedict Clements et al.
April 06, 2022
This paper discusses how fiscal policy can help foster more inclusive growth in developing Asia. On average, government expenditures in developing Asia are higher, as a share of gross domestic product, than those in Latin America and the Caribbean. Relative to Latin America, developing Asia spends m...
WORKING PAPERS
Priorities for Strengthening Key Revenue Sources in Asia
Sanjeev Gupta
and
João Tovar Jalles
April 06, 2022
This paper discusses the evolution of key taxes in the past 20 years in developing Asia and fiscal challenges that these countries face in light of the COVID-19 pandemic. It presents estimates of tax capacity and tax potential and discusses the productivity of key taxes in the region. The paper find...
POLICY PAPERS
Who’s Responsible for Climate Change? New Evidence Based on Country-Level Estimates of Climate Debt
Benedict Clements et al.
November 22, 2021
In this paper, we introduce the concept of climate debt and provide country-level estimates through 2035 under a business-as-usual scenario. These estimates can help inform the debate on climate change by providing a clear view of which countries have (until the present) contributed the most to clim...
WORKING PAPERS
Three New Estimates of India’s All-Cause Excess Mortality during the COVID-19 Pandemic
Abhishek Anand et al.
July 20, 2021
India lacks an authoritative estimate of the death toll from the COVID-19 pandemic. We report excess mortality estimates from three different data sources from the pandemic’s start through June 2021. Estimating COVID-deaths with statistical confidence may prove elusive. But all estimates suggest tha...
WORKING PAPERS
Can COVID-19 Induce Governments to Implement Tax Reforms in Developing Countries?
Sanjeev Gupta
and
João Tovar Jalles
March 02, 2021
We estimate that the short to medium-term fiscal impact of previous pandemics has been significant in 170 countries (including low-income countries) during the 2000-2018 period.
WORKING PAPERS
The New Era of Unconditional Convergence
Dev Patel et al.
February 23, 2021
The central fact that has motivated the empirics of economic growth—namely unconditional divergence—is no longer true and has not been so for decades.

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