Ideas to action: independent research for global prosperity
Women's Underrepresentation in IFI Leadership
November 27, 2023
EU-Africa Strategy: State of Play
November 24, 2023
Missing Figures: Women's Underrepresentation in IFI Leadership
November 27, 2023
International financial institutions (IFIs) appear to agree that quality of policymaking sees gains from diversifying the body of policymakers, all issuing diversity, equity, and inclusion statements. But how do these institutions perform when it comes to their own staff— do they lead by example? We...
The Future of Official Aid Flows
November 02, 2023
There is a non-trivial chance that ODA for non-humanitarian and climate finance will fall in absolute terms over the coming years and that aid will become increasingly focused on richer countries. The most promising strategy for bilateral ODA flows may be to increase the generosity of traditional do...
Is Manufacturing Destiny? On the Dynamics of Future Sectoral Shares and Development
October 30, 2023
Indicative projections of the evolution and peak of manufacturing in lower-income countries to 2050 suggest that cross-country income convergence will continue despite manufacturing peaking as a share of output.
Scenarios for Future Global Growth to 2050
March 06, 2023
We develop scenarios for the shape of the global economy in 2050 building on a simple regression of the historic relationship between current income and lagged income, demographic features, climate, and education, using the coefficients to develop a “central” forecast and error terms to set high and...
The Ultimate Resource is Peaking
January 25, 2023
Globally, we are making fewer potential innovators. To extend our two-century era of comparatively rapid progress, we need radically reduced discrimination in the global opportunity to innovate.
Should Infrastructure Investors Care About Human Capital?
October 27, 2022
There is considerable interest in increasing private participation in infrastructure to meet the twin goals of climate mitigation and development in low- and middle-income countries. At the same time, this infrastructure needs to make returns in order to be financially sustainable.
Technology and Development: An Exploration of the Data
June 09, 2022
We present data on the global diffusion of technologies over time, updating and adding to Comin and Mestieri’s "CHAT" database. We analyze usage primarily based on per capita measures and divide technologies into the two broad categories of production and consumption. We conclude that there has been...