Ideas to action: independent research for global prosperity
Women's Underrepresentation in IFI Leadership
November 27, 2023
EU-Africa Strategy: State of Play
November 24, 2023
The Macroeconomics of Pandemics around the World: Lives versus Livelihoods Revisited
October 20, 2020
The COVID-19 pandemic led governments around the world to impose unprecedented restrictions on economic activity. Were these restrictions equally justified in poorer countries with fewer demographic risk factors and less ability to weather economic shocks? We develop, validate, and estimate a fully ...
Is the World Bank’s COVID Crisis Lending Big Enough, Fast Enough? New Evidence on Loan Disbursements
October 12, 2020
We compile a new data set, combining official sources with transaction-level records scraped from the World Bank website, spanning all commitments, disbursements, and payments on all World Bank loans from before the 2008-09 Global Financial Crisis through August 2020, allowing us to compare the...
A Rosetta Stone for Human Capital
September 15, 2020
How can we accurately measure the global distribution of skills when people in different countries take different tests? We develop a new methodology to non-parametrically link scores from distinct populations. By administering an exam combining items from different assessments to 2,300 primary stud...
Deliberative Democracy and the Resource Curse: A Nationwide Experiment in Tanzania
September 11, 2020
Predicted COVID-19 Fatality Rates Based on Age, Sex, Comorbidities, and Health System Capacity
June 12, 2020
Early reports suggest the fatality rate from COVID-19 varies greatly across countries, but it's impossible to directly estimate the infection fatality rate in many low- and middle-income countries. To fill this gap, we estimate the adjustments required to extrapolate estimates of the IFR from h...
The IMF’s Growth Forecasts for Poor Countries Don’t Match Its COVID Narrative
May 14, 2020
The IMF’s forecasts of GDP growth in 2020 suggest a substantially muted impact of the COVID crisis for developing countries compared to advanced economies. We hope that the relative optimism will not induce complacency and elicit a less-than-forceful response by countries themselves nor legitim...