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Research

Innovative, independent, peer-reviewed. Explore the latest economic research and policy proposals from CGD’s global development experts.
POLICY PAPERS
The Future of UK Global Health Policy: Challenges and Opportunities
Peter Baker
and
Lydia Regan
November 30, 2023
WORKING PAPERS
Women's Underrepresentation in IFI Leadership
Eeshani Kandpal et al.
November 27, 2023
TESTIMONY
EU-Africa Strategy: State of Play
Mikaela Gavas
November 24, 2023
CGD NOTES
Australia-Tuvalu Climate and Migration Agreement Takeaways and Next Steps
Sam Huckstep
and
Helen Dempster
December 04, 2023

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Research
Displaying 1 - 7 of 43
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WORKING PAPERS
Identifying Macroeconomic Resilience to External Shocks in Emerging and Developing Countries: Lessons from the Global Shocks of 2020-2022
Liliana Rojas-Suarez
October 05, 2023
This paper uses a straightforward Resilience Indicator, constructed from a small set of economic and institutional variables, to show that by 2019, prior to the COVID-19 pandemic and subsequent global shocks, it was possible to identify emerging markets and developing countries that would encounter ...
WORKING PAPERS
Loan Recoveries and the Financing of Zombie Firms over the Business Cycle
Asli Demirguc-Kunt et al.
September 22, 2023
Using new data from the European Banking Authority on loan recovery outcomes, we examine how variation in loan recovery efficiency affects the transmission of financial sector and overall economic weakness to firm-level financial and real outcomes. We find that firms linked to under-capitalized bank...
WORKING PAPERS
Regulatory Arbitrage and Loan Location Decisions by Multinational Banks
Asli Demirguc-Kunt et al.
April 11, 2023
This paper examines the impact of international differences in capital regulation on multinational banks’ loan origination location decisions. We find that greater borrower transparency to a local bank establishment makes loan location at this establishment more likely, and that regulatory arbitrage...
WORKING PAPERS
Competition and Firm Recovery Post-COVID-19
Miriam Bruhn et al.
March 03, 2023
This paper examines the impact of the COVID-19 crisis on the reallocation of economic activity across firms, and whether this reallocation depends on the competition environment. The paper uses the World Bank’s Enterprise Surveys COVID-19 Follow-up Surveys for about 8,000 firms, including both small...
WORKING PAPERS
The Rise of Star Firms: Intangible Capital and Competition
Meghana Ayyagari et al.
November 17, 2022
The large divergence in the returns of top-performing star firms and the rest of the economy is substantially reduced when we account for the mismeasurement of intangible capital. Star firms produce and invest more per dollar of invested capital, have more valuable innovations as measured by the mar...
WORKING PAPERS
Small and Medium Enterprises Amidst the Pandemic and Reopening: Digital Edge and Transformation
Lin William Cong et al.
December 10, 2021
Using administrative universal firm registration data as well as primary offline and online surveys of small business owners in China, we examine (i) whether the digitization of business operations helps small and medium enterprises (SMEs) better cope with the pandemic shock, and (ii) if the pandemi...
WORKING PAPERS
Win-Win? The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor and its Impacts on the Pakistani Economy
David Landry
May 20, 2021
This paper employs a difference-in-differences approach and a pair of new datasets on government spending and economic activity compiled by the World Bank to examine the local impacts of the Chinese-Pakistan Economic Corridor in Pakistan.

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