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Research

Innovative, independent, peer-reviewed. Explore the latest economic research and policy proposals from CGD’s global development experts.
WORKING PAPERS
Protect Incomes or Protect Jobs?
Asli Demirguc-Kunt et al.
March 15, 2023
POLICY PAPERS
Concessional Climate Finance: Is the MDB Architecture Working?
Nancy Lee et al.
March 14, 2023
BRIEFS
Estimating the Return on Investment of Health Technology Assessment India (HTAIn)
Eleanor Grieve et al.
March 10, 2023
CGD NOTES
The Fall of Silicon Valley Bank: A Warning for Emerging Markets
Liliana Rojas-Suarez
March 16, 2023

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Research
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CGD NOTES
What We Know (and Don’t Know) about Violence against Girls and Boys in School
Susannah Hares
and
Gabriela Smarrelli
March 09, 2023
The education sector needs to know more and do more about violence in schools. In this note, we analyse the existing data, highlight some of the areas where we lack data, and suggest that more attention needs to be given to the different types of violence—including the different perpetrators—experie...
CGD NOTES
Women’s Economic Empowerment (WEE) Measurement in Financial Inclusion
Jenny Morgan et al.
March 08, 2023
WORKING PAPERS
Could Innovation and Productivity Drive Growth in African Countries? Lessons from Korea
Shahid Yusuf
March 07, 2023
The Korean model of development that flowered in the final third of the twentieth century remains a fertile source of lessons for countries in sub-Saharan Africa attempting to achieve sustainably high rates of growth. Korea relied on two principal drivers. One was a high level of investment in manuf...
WORKING PAPERS
Scenarios for Future Global Growth to 2050
Charles Kenny
and
Zack Gehan
March 06, 2023
We develop scenarios for the shape of the global economy in 2050 building on a simple regression of the historic relationship between current income and lagged income, demographic features, climate, and education, using the coefficients to develop a “central” forecast and error terms to set high and...
WORKING PAPERS
Competition and Firm Recovery Post-COVID-19
Miriam Bruhn et al.
March 03, 2023
This paper examines the impact of the COVID-19 crisis on the reallocation of economic activity across firms, and whether this reallocation depends on the competition environment. The paper uses the World Bank’s Enterprise Surveys COVID-19 Follow-up Surveys for about 8,000 firms, including both small...
CGD NOTES
Latin America’s Hard-to-Escape Stagnation Trap
Liliana Rojas-Suarez
March 01, 2023
Recent forecasts for economic growth around the world place Latin America as the developing region with the lowest growth rate. How concerned should we be by these numbers? Very, and not only because the latest figures are just one more data point in a persistent trend.
CGD NOTES
Yes, MDB Shareholders Can Act Now: Six Very Feasible Near-Term Decisions
Nancy Lee et al.
March 01, 2023
The World Bank is in the most visible position as it works on its evolution roadmap. But change is needed across the MDB system to enable these institutions to play a more effective and a much bigger role in helping the world meet these challenges. Together they hold about $500 billion in shareholde...

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