January 20, 2015
"The current moratorium policy has probably had a modest effect on reducing emissions below what they would have been otherwise," Jonah Busch, a research fellow at the Center for Global Development and lead author on the report, told Mongabay.com. "But if Indonesia is to meet its climate targets, a much stronger policy response is needed."
The study, published on Monday in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, is a "what if" analysis, estimating how much less deforestation would have occurred on parcels of land between 2000 and 2010 if new logging permits were not issued for oil palm, timber, and logging projects. Busch and his team estimated overall emissions would have fallen by as much as 7.2 percent, or as little 2.5 percent.