CGD in the News

Is Pakistan Sitting On China’s BRI Debt Bomb? This Report Says It Could Derail Economic Growth In 8 Countries (Financial Express)

May 14, 2018

From the article:

Pakistan, which is the centrepiece of China’s ambitious multi-nation BRI project, is among eight countries that will suffer from Chinese debt “overhangs”, leading to the impediment of sound public investment and economic growth, a report has said. The One Belt One Road Initiative is adding more to Pakistan’s debt distress, as China is charging relatively higher interest rates, Center for Global Development said in a report.
 
It noted that Pakistan has interest-free loans from China’s banks in some cases and fully commercial rate in the case of the Ethiopia-Djibouti railway, putting Pakistan in high-risk debt-to-GDP threshold. “Unlike the 2-2.5% ‘concessional rate’ given to some China Exim Bank customers, reports indicate that some of Pakistan’s loans reflect rates as high as 5%,” the report said.
 
Besides Pakistan, the report said, Djibouti, The Maldives, Laos, Montenegro, Mongolia, Tajikistan, and Kyrgyzstan are the countries the most vulnerable countries. Countries such as Sri Lanka, Afghanistan, and Bhutan also have significant debt risks, but not as bad as the other eight.