The findings and recommendations presented in the Global Health Forecasting Working Group's final report, A Risky Business: Saving Money and Improving Global Health through Better Demand Forecasts, were based in part on background research by several technical consultants. The resulting documents include:
- Forecasting for Global Health: New Money, New Products & New Markets (Neelam Sehkri, February 2006)
- An Introduction to Risk & Uncertainty (Owen Barder and Ruth Levine, September 2006)
- Principles for Forecasting Demand for Global Health Products (Neelam Sekhri, Rob Chisholm, Andrea Longhi, Peter Evans, Mark Rilling, Edward Wilson and Yvette Madrid, September 2006)
- Information Sharing & Gathering as a Public Good (Daniella Ballou-Aares and Priya Mehta, October 2006)
- Mapping & Realigning Incentives in the Global Health Supply Chain (Prashant Yadav, Kirsten Curtis and Neelam Sekhri, December 2006)
These analyses are largely reflected in the Working Group’s report, modified to account for the group’s subsequent deliberations and the availability of new or updated information. The views expressed here are those of the authors and should not be attributed to members of the Working Group, their respective institutions, or the directors or funders of the Center for Global Development. Use and dissemination of these papers is encouraged; however, reproduced copies may not be used for commercial purposes. Further usage is permitted under the terms of the Creative Commons License.