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Research

Innovative, independent, peer-reviewed. Explore the latest economic research and policy proposals from CGD’s global development experts.
CGD NOTES
Does SDR Recycling Impair Reserve Management?
Bernat Camps Adrogué
and
Mark Plant
November 14, 2023
WORKING PAPERS
Phonics and Foreign Aid: Can America Teach the World to Read?
Justin Sandefur et al.
November 20, 2023
WORKING PAPERS
Improving School Management of Violence in Peru
Gabriela Smarrelli
November 22, 2023
CGD NOTES
Breaking Financing Barriers for a Just Climate Transition in Africa
Mahmoud Mohieldin et al.
November 17, 2023

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Research
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WORKING PAPERS
A Higher Bar or an Obstacle Course? Peer Review and Organizational Decision-Making in an International Development Bureaucracy
Ranil Dissanayake
and
Euan Ritchie
May 20, 2022
Many public organizations employ technologies of scrutiny such as peer review or quality assurance to improve their performance and decision-making. Such technologies may affect performance and decision-making directly, through scrutiny, and indirectly, through behavioural responses by agents within...
WORKING PAPERS
Small and Medium Enterprises Amidst the Pandemic and Reopening: Digital Edge and Transformation
Lin William Cong et al.
December 10, 2021
Using administrative universal firm registration data as well as primary offline and online surveys of small business owners in China, we examine (i) whether the digitization of business operations helps small and medium enterprises (SMEs) better cope with the pandemic shock, and (ii) if the pandemi...
WORKING PAPERS
Win-Win? The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor and its Impacts on the Pakistani Economy
David Landry
May 20, 2021
This paper employs a difference-in-differences approach and a pair of new datasets on government spending and economic activity compiled by the World Bank to examine the local impacts of the Chinese-Pakistan Economic Corridor in Pakistan.
WORKING PAPERS
How China Lends: A Rare Look into 100 Debt Contracts with Foreign Governments
Anna Gelpern et al.
March 31, 2021
China is the world’s largest official creditor, but we lack basic facts about the terms and conditions of its lending. Very few contracts between Chinese lenders and their government borrowers have ever been published or studied. This paper is the first systematic analysis of the legal terms of Chin...
WORKING PAPERS
More Problems More Money? Does China Lend More to African Countries with Higher Credit Risk Levels?
David Landry
and
Gailyn Portelance
March 03, 2021
Over the past decade, China has provided billions of dollars in concessional and non-concessional finance to countries around the world. In light of these trends, both researchers and pundits have focused on China’s motivations for allocating development finance, particularly in Africa, due to debt ...
WORKING PAPERS
The Impact of COVID-19 on Small and Medium-sized Enterprises: Evidence from Two-wave Phone Surveys in China
Rouchen Dai et al.
September 14, 2020
This paper examines both the short-term and mid-term impact of COVID-19 restrictions on small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), based on two waves of phone interviews with a previously surveyed large SME sample in China.
WORKING PAPERS
The Limits (And Human Costs) of Population Policy: Fertility Decline and Sex Selection in China under Mao - Working Paper 505
Kimberly Singer Babiarz et al.
March 21, 2019
Most of China’s fertility decline predates the famous One Child Policy—and instead occurred under its predecessor, the Later, Longer, Fewer (LLF) policy. Studying LLF’s contribution to fertility and sex selection behavior, we find that it i) reduced China’s total fertility ra...

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