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WORKING PAPERS
April 23, 2024
This paper explores the potential implications of a declining absolute labor force on economic outcomes. It explores key macroeconomic variables during periods of negative and positive prime age (15-65) population growth (PAPG). These variables include 10-year bond yields, consumer price indices, fe...
Blog Post
April 23, 2024
The ongoing global demographic transition is massive in scale and likely impact. For most of the past 200 years, the vast majority of the world’s countries have seen population growth, particularly working-age population growth. As they’ve gone through the "demographic transition" toward lower birth...
Blog Post
April 17, 2024
In the wake of COVID and amidst global crises, care has increasingly become recognized as a global issue critical for sustainable development and gender equality. Yet, there are still massive gaps in care policies, services, and financing, and there is much more work that needs to happen to ensure u...
Blog Post
April 09, 2024
It's spring in DC, which means it's time once again for the IMF-World Bank Spring Meetings. Finance ministers, central bank governors, and other top officials from around the world gather to discuss the state of the world economy and the international financial architecture, and CGD's researchers ar...
Blog Post
April 05, 2024
One of the most serious challenges facing the global economy today is the impending sovereign debt crisis in many middle- and low-income countries. The fiscal outlook in some of these countries appeared dire even before interest rates started climbing and spending related to COVID-19 caused debts to...