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Blog Post
June 14, 2024
Reuters reports today that the US Defense Department spread anti-vaccine messaging across Southeast Asia during COVID as part of an effort to discredit Chinese-manufactured vaccines. At a minimum, the Administration should amend EO 12333 to mandate that no US intelligence or psychological warfare op...
WORKING PAPERS
June 12, 2024
Latin America is often regarded as an “economic failure,” a region prone to crises, with high inflation and other symptoms of macroeconomic instability. But that picture is largely one of the past. Analyzing six areas of macroeconomic management and eight macroeconomic outcomes, this paper shows the...
Blog Post
June 05, 2024
The latest news on the failed—or stalled—or soon to be completed—pandemic accord negotiations reveal the human frailties of international cooperation. With the messages swinging from despair (the negotiations failed!) to optimism (there will be agreement, come what may!), what might seem like bipola...
Blog Post
June 05, 2024
Addressing the unprecedented levels of irregular migration requires a fundamental shift in understanding the problem: People come whenever there are jobs to be filled in the American economy. It is true today, and it has been true for decades. That is main finding from my new study analyzing nearly ...
WORKING PAPERS
June 05, 2024
This study investigates the link between Southwest US border crossings and labor market tightness, measured by the job openings to unemployed ratio, over nearly 25 years (2000–2023). Analyzing monthly data, it finds a strong positive correlation, suggesting that increased border crossings align with...
CGD NOTES
March 28, 2024
Over the past two decades, China has become a distinctive and increasingly important donor of development assistance for health (DAH). However, little is known about what factors influence China’s priority-setting for DAH. In this study, we provide an updated analysis of trends in the priorities of ...
Blog Post
March 25, 2024
A new institutional strategy for the years 2024–2030 was just approved by the Board of Governors at the annual meeting of the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB). This comes one year after Ilan Goldfajn assumed the presidency of the organization with a commitment to establish clear priorities and ...
Blog Post
March 05, 2024
Brazil kicked off the Finance Track of its term as G20 president on February 28-29 with a clarion call for progressive international economic action. Despite some of the familiar G20 dysfunction, the Brazilian G20 gives me a shred of hope. The Brazilians put forward some big ideas.
WORKING PAPERS
February 23, 2024
As the politics of polarization gain traction and electoral support, a new vintage of populism is emerging in Latin America. This new version shares some aspects with the type of cultural populism now common in advanced economies that divides societies into antagonistic camps. But there are also imp...
WORKING PAPERS
February 20, 2024
This paper provides a discussion of future trends as established in the literature on the interaction between socioeconomic indicators and projected future climate change scenarios. It enhances our understanding of future predicted patterns of climate change effects in the coming decades and the nee...