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Press Release
April 23, 2024
The majority of the world’s wealthy countries will see their working-age populations shrink over the next forty years, with the potential to significantly slow economic growth, according to a new study released today by the Center for Global Development. Researchers found that countries facing a red...
Blog Post
August 01, 2023
A number of aid advocates have started (re)using the fear of migration flows to drum up support for increased, or at least sustained, development and climate finance. Their argument is that such finance will reduce migration flows; that we should support and protect prosperous and sustainable econom...
Blog Post
May 09, 2023
The climate-migration nexus is complex. Migration is not monocausal, and climate shocks are not the most important factors affecting movement: networks, education, resources, and other considerations all play a role in determining how people make migration choices. Complexity, however, is not a just...
POLICY PAPERS
May 09, 2023
Climate change has major ramifications for migration at every level. While most migration affected by climate change will be internal, the international system is unprepared and inadequate for the needs that will arise. Migration can be a valuable tool for adaptation, but action is needed if its po...
Blog Post
April 24, 2023
That said, there are reasons to doubt that a declining working age population would have a long-term effect on prices. They are based on an argument that economists have long made when it comes to migration into economies where the domestic labor force was still expanding, termed the “lump of labor ...
Blog Post
April 19, 2023
The World Bank’s evolution roadmap calls for the institution to reform and grow in response to global challenges and in particular climate change. But if the World Bank wants to do more on climate, it will also need to do more on migration–a topic only mentioned in passing. Successive briefings to t...
Blog Post
February 27, 2023
The European Commission has quietly announced that it now has major ambitions to recruit international workers for its green transition. This is sensible, necessary, and can be positive for all involved. It will, however, face challenges. This blog reviews the EU’s goals, and suggests ways to go abo...
WORKING PAPERS
February 21, 2023
Immigration policy can have important net fiscal effects that vary by immigrants’ skill level. But mainstream methods to estimate these effects are problematic. Methods based on cash-flow accounting offer precision at the cost of bias; methods based on general equilibrium modeling address bias with ...
WORKING PAPERS
January 23, 2023
The US limits work visas for low-skill jobs outside of agriculture, with a binding quota that firms access via a randomized lottery. We evaluate the marginal impact of the quota on firms entering the 2021 H-2B visa lottery using a novel survey and pre-analysis plan. Firms exogenously authorized to e...