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Research

Innovative, independent, peer-reviewed. Explore the latest economic research and policy proposals from CGD’s global development experts.
WORKING PAPERS
Protect Incomes or Protect Jobs?
Asli Demirguc-Kunt et al.
March 15, 2023
POLICY PAPERS
Concessional Climate Finance: Is the MDB Architecture Working?
Nancy Lee et al.
March 14, 2023
BRIEFS
Estimating the Return on Investment of Health Technology Assessment India (HTAIn)
Eleanor Grieve et al.
March 10, 2023
CGD NOTES
The Fall of Silicon Valley Bank: A Warning for Emerging Markets
Liliana Rojas-Suarez
March 16, 2023

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Research
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CGD NOTES
How to Reverse the Decline in the Poverty Focus of UK Aid
Sam Hughes
and
Ian Mitchell
February 07, 2023
It is well understood that the same amount of aid makes a bigger difference to peoples’ lives when their incomes are lower. And Development Minister Andrew Mitchell has rightly emphasised a “focus on the poorest and most vulnerable” in the UK’s development activities. With significant cuts to the UK...
REPORTS
Opportunities for the G7 to Address the Global Crisis of Lead Poisoning in the 21st Century: A Rapid Stocktaking Report
Rachel Silverman
and
Rory Todd
February 06, 2023
Lead poisoning may be among the most pressing public health challenges faced by low and middle-income countries (LMICs) and is certainly one of the least recognized and most neglected. Lead exposure is estimated by the Institute of Health and Metrics to be responsible for 900,000 deaths per year (mo...
WORKING PAPERS
Global Bank Lending under Climate Policy
Asli Demirguc-Kunt et al.
January 31, 2023
What is the response of bank foreign subsidiaries to climate policy in their host countries? We find that global banks with high environmental performance increase their presence in countries after local authorities strengthen their climate-related actions. Our findings show that strengthening clima...
WORKING PAPERS
The Ultimate Resource is Peaking
Charles Kenny
January 25, 2023
Globally, we are making fewer potential innovators. To extend our two-century era of comparatively rapid progress, we need radically reduced discrimination in the global opportunity to innovate.
WORKING PAPERS
The Effect of Low-Skill Immigration Restrictions on US Firms and Workers: Evidence from a Randomized Lottery
Michael Clemens
and
Ethan G. Lewis
January 23, 2023
The US limits work visas for low-skill jobs outside of agriculture, with a binding quota that firms access via a randomized lottery. We evaluate the marginal impact of the quota on firms entering the 2021 H-2B visa lottery using a novel survey and pre-analysis plan. Firms exogenously authorized to e...
POLICY PAPERS
Models of Social Payments through Inua Jamii
Alan Gelb et al.
January 19, 2023
This study surveys Kenya's electronic payment system for social benefits, Inua Jamii, from the perspective of recipients, including their views on convenience and the benefits from competition. It also considers whether these digital G2P payments programs have increased financial inclusion more gene...
POLICY PAPERS
MENA and the Global Energy Conundrum
Rabah Arezki
and
Adnan Mazarei
January 19, 2023
The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) is addicted to fossil fuels, like the rest of the world. An energy transition will require a coordinated global shift in both the supply and demand for fossil fuels and cleaner energy, and multilateral institutions can play an important role. These institution...

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