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Global Fund Evaluation Data Helps Predict Performance and Risk

June 4, 2007

The Global Fund to Fight AIDS, TB and Malaria provides some $1.3 billion a year in assistance to more than 130 countries, so monitoring grants is a major challenge. In a new paper published in the Lancet, CGD senior fellow Steve Radelet and co-author Bilal Siddiqi use the evaluation scores provided by the Global Fund to identify the circumstances in which grants are more likely to perform well--or poorly. They find that grants made to government recipients (instead of NGOs), to countries with weaker health systems, and to countries with many donors are at greater risk and may therefore require more supervision. Learn more