Forecasting the Economic Fallout from AMR
CGD set out to estimate the future economic burden of antimicrobial resistance (AMR) by 2050. We looked at the impact of AMR on four sectors of the economy: health system, the labour market, tourism, and domestic hospitality. We also estimated the return on investment of several interventions to prevent AMR.

What Our Research Found

This research was carried out as part of a wider project with the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, the World Organisation for Animal Health, and RAND Europe.

Impact on GDP from Improved Treatment and Innovation in 2050 (Percentage and Total in Billion US$)

Bar graph of total GDP impact in 2050 due to improved treatment and innovation (in billion USD)

Costs and Benefits of Improved Bacterial Infection Treatments and New Drugs in 2050

Bar graph showing benefits of better bacterial infection treatments is 28 times the cost

Healthcare Cost Savings from Five AMR Interventions in 2050

Health care cost savings of five AMR intervention scenarios in 2050 with accelerated rise in AMR losing money instead of saving

GDP Impact of Five AMR Interventions in 2050

Macroeconomic impact of health care cost savings of five AMR intervention scenarios in 2050 with accelerated rise in AMR losing money instead of saving

Explore Our Work on the Economic Impacts of AMR

Economic Impacts of AMR

Anthony McDonnell et al.

Global Direct Inpatient Cost of AMR

Tim Laurence, Olimpia Lamberti, Robert Smith, Tom Drake, and Anthony McDonnell

Modelling the Economic Impact of AMR

Amanda M. Countryman and Anthony McDonnell

Costing AMR Interventions

Tim Laurence and Anthony McDonnell

More on CGD’s Work on Antimicrobial Resistance

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