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Blog Post
May 15, 2024
On Friday, May 10, 2024, the IMF Executive Board approved the recycling of special drawing rights (SDRs) to multilateral development banks (MDBs) for use as hybrid capital. It took a long time to get to this point, and the IMF should be congratulated for overcoming strong opposition, even from some ...
CGD NOTES
May 14, 2024
This note presents two scenarios for the world economy and development prospects to 2050 based on the forecasting exercises and analysis presented in a series of papers by Philip Adom, Augustin Kwasi Fosu, Dede Woade Gafa, Zack Gehan, Brian Webster, Ranil Dissanayake and Charles Kenny.
Blog Post
May 14, 2024
Richer aging countries need educated young workers to provide the services and entrepreneurial talent to sustain their quality of life. A growing population of young, increasingly educated people in poorer countries, and especially in Africa, need good jobs and greater opportunities. More trade in s...
Blog Post
May 10, 2024
While there was no great fanfare coming out of the IMF/World Bank Spring Meetings, a closer look at the official statements reveals simmering tensions between major constituencies over the execution of the World Bank’s new “Livable Planet” agenda. These tensions were fueled by debates over the alloc...
CGD NOTES
May 07, 2024
IDA faces many headwinds—difficult aid politics in key donor countries; a high-interest rate environment that renders its financial model less efficient; and deteriorating credit quality in many of its client countries that makes risk taking less appealing. Breaking the $100 billion mark is not a po...
Blog Post
April 30, 2024
The controversy around the IFC’s investment in Bridge Academies, a for-profit education provider in Africa and India, is not going away. Indeed, World Bank President Ajay Banga has committed to an external investigation of the entire fiasco. The Bridge investigation highlighted two significant accou...
WORKING PAPERS
April 23, 2024
This paper explores the potential implications of a declining absolute labor force on economic outcomes. It explores key macroeconomic variables during periods of negative and positive prime age (15-65) population growth (PAPG). These variables include 10-year bond yields, consumer price indices, fe...
Blog Post
April 23, 2024
The ongoing global demographic transition is massive in scale and likely impact. For most of the past 200 years, the vast majority of the world’s countries have seen population growth, particularly working-age population growth. As they’ve gone through the "demographic transition" toward lower birth...