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Blog Post
October 05, 2023
A year ago, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) announced that an alarming 60 percent of developing countries and 25 percent of emerging market economies were either in debt distress or at severe risk of default. The confluence of severe shocks in the period 2020-22, starting with the COVID-19 pan...
WORKING PAPERS
October 05, 2023
This paper uses a straightforward Resilience Indicator, constructed from a small set of economic and institutional variables, to show that by 2019, prior to the COVID-19 pandemic and subsequent global shocks, it was possible to identify emerging markets and developing countries that would encounter ...
WORKING PAPERS
September 22, 2023
Using new data from the European Banking Authority on loan recovery outcomes, we examine how variation in loan recovery efficiency affects the transmission of financial sector and overall economic weakness to firm-level financial and real outcomes. We find that firms linked to under-capitalized bank...
Blog Post
August 28, 2023
We’d been eagerly awaiting an update to DFC’s downloadable project data for insight into the development finance agency’s recent investments and overarching portfolio composition. A new drop finally came earlier this month detailing transactions through FY2022 and timed with the release of DFC’s ina...
Blog Post
July 27, 2023
Last week’s Senate Appropriations Committee markup revealed a vast gulf dividing the Capitol with respect to development and diplomacy funding for the coming fiscal year. The two chambers’ State and Foreign Operations spending bill toplines are more than $9 billion apart, with the House coming in at...
CGD NOTES
June 07, 2023
The Committee identifies three critical developments in the global economy with profound implications that require urgent changes at the IMF. This statement advances broad proposals to address these issues by creating an Emerging Markets Fund (EMF); modifying the G20 Common Framework to effectively ...
Blog Post
May 22, 2023
The tide is turning: the economic recovery in the Asia-Pacific region is picking up steam. Last week’s forecasts from the IMF suggest that economic growth in the region’s developing and emerging countries will rise from 4.4 percent in 2022 to 5.3 and 5.1 percent in the current and following year. Th...
Blog Post
April 17, 2023
To what extent are the high returns on capital of "star firms" due to unmeasured differences in intangible invested capital? Once these differences are corrected, how do star firms differ in their output and investment strategies from other firms? Our evidence points not to exploitation of market po...
WORKING PAPERS
April 11, 2023
This paper examines the impact of international differences in capital regulation on multinational banks’ loan origination location decisions. We find that greater borrower transparency to a local bank establishment makes loan location at this establishment more likely, and that regulatory arbitrage...
Blog Post
April 11, 2023
Regulatory arbitrage—the practice whereby banks try to escape jurisdictions with more stringent regulations in favor of less stringent ones—has been a topic of active research interest. Previous research has shown that banks do indeed direct financial flows to countries with less strict regulations,...