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Blog Post
October 05, 2023
A year ago, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) announced that an alarming 60 percent of developing countries and 25 percent of emerging market economies were either in debt distress or at severe risk of default. The confluence of severe shocks in the period 2020-22, starting with the COVID-19 pan...
WORKING PAPERS
October 05, 2023
This paper uses a straightforward Resilience Indicator, constructed from a small set of economic and institutional variables, to show that by 2019, prior to the COVID-19 pandemic and subsequent global shocks, it was possible to identify emerging markets and developing countries that would encounter ...
CGD NOTES
March 16, 2023
The the wake of the Silicon Valley Bank collapse, bank regulators and supervisors in emerging markets should be looking closely at their own banking systems with lessons from Silicon Valley in mind. For most emerging markets, where previous banking crises were devastating and turned back the clock o...
Sep
14
2021
2:00—3:00 PM Washington DC Time
July 28, 2021
Extreme episodes of capital flow volatility have long been a concern for policymakers in Latin America because of the threat that they pose to macroeconomic and financial stability. In the decade following the Great Financial Crisis of 2008-09, capital flows seemed to move more in ripples than in wa...
Jun
24
2021
1:30—2:45 PM Washington DC time
June 17, 2021
COVID-19 will likely reverse many of the social gains that took decades to materialize in Latin America and the Caribbean. The global pandemic is resulting in a decline in the size of the middle class and an increase in poverty in most countries, with some staggering exceptions, like Brazil, whose t...
Apr
10
2018
9:30—11:30 AM
March 26, 2018
Since the early 2000s, Latin America has become increasingly integrated with the global economy, liberalizing trade and opening its capital account. These initiatives were prompted by the assumption that advanced economies would not impose barriers to the cross-border movement of goods and services....
Blog Post
January 23, 2018
Recently, the World Bank published its latest Global Economic Prospects report, which highlights a welcomed cyclical recovery for all major regions of the world following recent slow growth. I was pleased to participate in a panel discussion at CGD analyzing the report’s finding...
Jan
16
2018
9:30—11:00 AM
January 02, 2018
The World Bank’s Global Economic Prospects 2018 recognizes that the global economy is enjoying a long-awaited broad-based cyclical recovery. In this favorable environment, the Bank expects growth in emerging and developing countries to continue during the next couple of years. But this is no t...