Ideas to action: independent research for global prosperity
Research
Innovative, independent, peer-reviewed. Explore the latest economic research and policy proposals from CGD’s global development experts.
CGD NOTES
May 31, 2024
CGD NOTES
June 05, 2024
CGD NOTES
May 23, 2024
WORKING PAPERS
June 05, 2024
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Research
POLICY PAPERS
November 01, 2023
Central to implementation of the Paris Agreement are questions of “fair shares”: who might contribute what and whether the group of contributors should be expanded. There is a case for nontraditional donors providing 20-30 percent of any total, while developed countries continue to take primary resp...
POLICY PAPERS
May 09, 2023
Climate change has major ramifications for migration at every level. While most migration affected by climate change will be internal, the international system is unprepared and inadequate for the needs that will arise. Migration can be a valuable tool for adaptation, but action is needed if its po...
WORKING PAPERS
February 21, 2023
Immigration policy can have important net fiscal effects that vary by immigrants’ skill level. But mainstream methods to estimate these effects are problematic. Methods based on cash-flow accounting offer precision at the cost of bias; methods based on general equilibrium modeling address bias with ...
WORKING PAPERS
January 23, 2023
The US limits work visas for low-skill jobs outside of agriculture, with a binding quota that firms access via a randomized lottery. We evaluate the marginal impact of the quota on firms entering the 2021 H-2B visa lottery using a novel survey and pre-analysis plan. Firms exogenously authorized to e...
WORKING PAPERS
March 23, 2022
International migrants who seek protection also participate in the economy. Thus the policy of the United States to drastically reduce refugee and asylum-seeker arrivals from 2017 to 2020 might have substantial and ongoing economic consequences. This paper places conservative bounds on those effects...